Seawolves Fans

My real concern is what does this NCAA settlement and the future pay for play model mean for our middle-of-the-pack schools like Stony Brook?

So much going on. Feels like College sports as we know it is DEAD!

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fanlax.com

Back to the original question, how will this impact women's lax.

My perspective.

First off, some clarity around the settlement. The settlement calls for 22% of revenues to go to athletes, not a fixed $$ amount. Obviously, impact is much greater for power 5 schools than other schools.

Some impacts from my perspective

1) BIG LOSER -- 2026 recruits. Details of this settlement won't be finalized until mid-fall at the earliest. This means that coaches may be going into recruiting without understanding their budgets. I expect coaches to be very aggressive for the top 100 players and the very conservative for the rest. I would expect more late commits than in the previous few cycles

2) BIG LOSER -- kids on schools with big rosters. I think the roster cap could be the biggest potential impact for a majority of women's lax programs. No idea what the cap will be, but I can't see it being higher than 45, more than likely 40. Some schools may need to do some serious trimming, including potentially some 2025 commts

3) BIG WINNER -- Revenue driving women's sports. Despite what some folks on the internet say, if these payments are coming from the school, they are subject to Title IX. Expect women's hoop and volleyball to get the lion's share, but can see benefits acrosse women's sports

4) BIG BIG LOSER -- non-revenue male sports. No 2 ways about it. With new revenue streaming coming and Title IX compliance in effect, cuts need to come form somewhere. Expect to see many expensive low-revenue men's sports gone. Expect to see many men's track, wrestling and golf programs cut

5) BIG BIG WINNER -- SEC and BIG 10 women's lax. More $$ in play now and no scholarship caps. Can't see a few programs really leverage the lack of scholarship caps. Within 4 years, I expect Michigan, Penn State, USC, Florida, Clemson to be perennial top 10 teams. Will be interesting to see what these coaches do in 2026 recruiting. Will they over committ scholarship $$ before new rules come in place or will they wait until the 27s to bring in a full class of girls on full rides.

6) X factors -- Northwestern, Stony Brook, Hopkins, Denver. With these changes on the horizon, Northwestern could start very easily being outspent by a majority of the teams in its conference. Will it be able to compete? With Stony Brook no longer being on a level playing field with top schools and his kids graduated, how long does Joe S stay? I assume he may try to fundraise to get additional $$, but I think this could be the trigger at him leaving. Same story for Denver and Hopkins, if I were betting, I think they move to AAC sooner rather than later.

i could be wrong but i dont think sb is getting any revenue from the caa and no one seems to care about that or ask about that. i dont think they will get any share money from the caa for years.