That was my point because those are big ticket items and there’s many more reasons so I don’t seeing it happen either
If you build it they will come.
Like any business, while fundamentals matter, building is what you want to become. What you are now doesn't matter as much.
If SBU's administration and board of trustees decide that going FBS matters. We're going FBS. That's it. Attendance NOW doesn't matter, just like it didn't matter to Buffalo, or UConn, or UMass, or any other mid-tier public that I think matches SBU in this region. Even Rutgers wasn't prepared for the Big10 when it got picked up (remember Rutgers, the Big East doormat we used to beat in a host of sports?). Now they've ascended to relevancy (not the top of the Big10, but at least not an active drag).
SBU academically could say the same. It was always "fine" academically, but people like Shirley Kenny felt that it should be bigger. You can respond that donors did all that, but no one bets on a limping horse at the track.
If the SBU leadership, notably its board, wants it to go FBS, it will. That's it. As we have seen during other periods when emphasis was put on these programs, the turnout will come if the school pushes for it.
Right now I get the feeling that SBU doesn't know what it wants to be, but it's probably a concern a lot of schools our size have in this new NCAA environment.
My bet is that we're in the MAC by 2032, when the AAC media rights agreement terminates. There won't be a lot of FCS left when we leave it. We're too big to go D2, and I think the non-P4 will reconfigure along more geographic lines once that patchwork conference dissolves. That makes us a good match for wherever Delaware, UMass, UConn Football and Temple go, which I think is to an expanded MAC. This could happen earlier, since I just read that the AAC media rights agreement does not include grant of rights (essentially guaranteeing that people leave, like Memphis just tried to).