Author Topic: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!  (Read 788 times)

ecasadoSBU

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2312
  • Location: New York, NY
    • View Profile
This was a really bad day for the CAA with Delaware and UNH both losing. The CAA has three teams in, two in the bubble.

Everything a Stony Brook Fan Needs:

SBU FANS Message Board - http://sbufan.createaforum.com/index.php

BROOK LAND:
https://brook.land/

WUSB.FM Radio & Sports Blog: http://sbradiosports.blogspot.com/

Official Site: http://www.stonybrookathletics.com/

VA_Seawolf

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 331
  • Location: Northern Virginia
    • View Profile
Now that all of the games that will effect seeding are completed, I think we have a very clear picture of the teams in the running for seeds. The following six schools are locks. The committee may manipulate the order based on rematches, geography or what have you, but these six will receive seeds for sure:

James Madison, North Dakota State, South Dakota State, Jacksonville State, Central Arkansas, Sam Houston State

The final two seeds will come down to two schools from this group:

Stony Brook, Wofford, Southern Utah, Weber State, Western Illinois, Kennesaw State

Kennesaw I'll eliminate right off the bat. They're 9-1 against the FCS just like we are, but they have a much weaker schedule and a D2 win. Great story and I hope they get an easy round 1 opponent at home, but no seed for them.

WIU has three losses and the committee might not either want a third Valley team, or the resumes of the two loss teams are better. They've got an "FBS" win over Coastal and a non-conference win over NAU, but three losses against the top of the MVFC. They didn't beat any of those top tier teams in their confrerence. Good resume, but I ultimately don't think they get a seed from the committee. You never know though. They're our biggest threat.

Weber St. has a D2 win while we do not. They have a good win over Montana, but lost to SUU head to head and Montana losing today makes that win not quite look as good. If they give Weber a seed over us despite playing in a weaker conference and playing D2 teams, I'd be legitimately upset.

Southern Utah - Outright Big Sky champion via the h2h autobid, 9-2 overall, 9-1 vs the FCS. The committee could choose someone else for a seed, but I doubt it. I'd give SUU a seed and I anticipate they'll get one.

Wofford - Needed overtime to beat a couple weak opponents in the SoCon, a weaker league than the CAA. The committee respects the CAA and MVFC the most out of the two leagues. A committee member has said so themselves. Their FBS loss to South Carolina wasn't bad, but ours was a much more competitive game against a ranked USF. Our loss is of higher quality and should be to the committee as well. The game was never in doubt, meanwhile we gave USF a legitimate scare and were leading in the fourth. Their OOC consisted of Big South teams and like us they're 9-1 against the FCS. If they get a seed over us, that'd be complete bull****.

In my mind, it'll come down to us or WIU for the final seed. Our 9 wins to their 8, should give us the edge and seed. We're a 9-2 team in the CAA. No team has ever done that well in this league and not gotten a seed. If they decided the Valley was just better and decided to seed three Valley teams compared to only one for the CAA, I'd be able to live with that as WIU has some good wins and the Valley is incredibly competitive. If any of these others get a seed over us I'm going to be seriously upset and call into question the judgement of the committee.

Seeds:
1. JMU
2. NDSU
3. JSU
4. UCA
5. SDSU
6. SHSU
7. Southern Utah
8. Stony Brook
« Last Edit: November 18, 2017, 09:14:03 pm by VA_Seawolf »
Like Like x 1 View List

Chairman of the Board

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3809
  • Location: New York, NY
    • View Profile
    • SB Lacrosse Alumni Org
There are 29,413,039 corporations in America; but only one Chairman of the Board.
Like Like x 1 View List

VA_Seawolf

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 331
  • Location: Northern Virginia
    • View Profile
Additionally, if they do screw us over, what's most likely to happen is they seed Wofford instead of us, and our first round match-up is likely to be one of Central Connecticut St. (NEC champion), Lehigh(Patriot champion), or Monmouth (Big South at-large) at home next weekend. Winner of that game is likely to face either Wofford or JMU in the second round depending on how they do the brackets. Probably JMU.

iBOsbu

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 792
  • Location: MD
    • View Profile
Additionally, if they do screw us over, what's most likely to happen is they seed Wofford instead of us, and our first round match-up is likely to be one of Central Connecticut St. (NEC champion), Lehigh(Patriot champion), or Monmouth (Big South at-large) at home next weekend. Winner of that game is likely to face either Wofford or JMU in the second round depending on how they do the brackets. Probably JMU.

I would rather face Wofford than JMU. JMU scares me lol. They are a juggernaut. I really hope you are right VA and we get a seed. The rest would be really helpful. I have a feeling though that MVFC might get that 3rd seed. If we exclude the two top teams JMU and NDSU, MVFC is much tougher than CAA this year.
« Last Edit: November 18, 2017, 09:37:08 pm by iBOsbu »

Seawolf97

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2119
  • Location: Suffolk County , NY
    • View Profile
  I wouldn't mind a home game against Lehigh or CCSU  . Getting a seed  means we play at home the first weekend in December I don't know how much love the committee has for us.  We are an upstart tis year  even though we are 9-2

VA_Seawolf

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 331
  • Location: Northern Virginia
    • View Profile
If we don't get a bye, best case scenario is Lehigh at home in round 1, then a road game at Wofford in round 2. Wofford outside of South Carolina, Samford, and Furman has played nothing but cupcakes this year and we've played well against option teams under Coach P in the past. I think we could beat them if we got them on the road if they're the 7 or 8 seed. They've gotten some love from the committee, but we could easily show how seeding them was a mistake.

I actually want us to play JMU this year, but not before the quarterfinals. We've won at Bridgeforth in the past (2013) and they'd be a great measuring stick for our program. NDSU would be too, but I'd much rather play @JMU than go all the way to Fargo to play NDSU.
« Last Edit: November 18, 2017, 10:09:02 pm by VA_Seawolf »

iBOsbu

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 792
  • Location: MD
    • View Profile
PROJECTIONS

1) STATS
https://twitter.com/FCS_STATS/status/932106273713213440?s=17

(Monmouth@Stony Brook winner at No. 8 seed Wofford) at (Central Connecticut St.@Lehigh winner at No. 1 seed James Madison). This would be perfect.

2) HERO Sports:
https://herosports.com/fcs/football-fcs-bracket-seeds-1st-round-games-november-18-2017-ajaj

(CCSU@Stony Brook)@JMU

3) Nobowls:
http://www.nobowls.com/index.html

(CCSU@Stony Brook)@NDSU

4) Dom Izzo:
 https://twitter.com/DomIzzoWDAY/status/932105365524746240?s=17

(Samford@Stony Brook)@Sam Houston
« Last Edit: November 19, 2017, 02:11:52 am by iBOsbu »

VA_Seawolf

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 331
  • Location: Northern Virginia
    • View Profile
PROJECTIONS

1) STATS
https://twitter.com/FCS_STATS/status/932106273713213440?s=17

(Monmouth@Stony Brook winner at No. 8 seed Wofford) at (Central Connecticut St.@Lehigh winner at No. 1 seed James Madison). This would be perfect.

2) HERO Sports:
https://herosports.com/fcs/football-fcs-bracket-seeds-1st-round-games-november-18-2017-ajaj

(CCSU@Stony Brook)@JMU

3) Nobowls:
http://www.nobowls.com/index.html

(CCSU@Stony Brook)@NDSU

4) Dom Izzo:
 https://twitter.com/DomIzzoWDAY/status/932105365524746240?s=17

(Samford@Stony Brook)@Sam Houston

I hate them all because none of them have us getting the bye. Us vs Monmouth then playing @Wofford seems to be the most likely though.

Hammertime

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2312
    • View Profile
PROJECTIONS

1) STATS
https://twitter.com/FCS_STATS/status/932106273713213440?s=17

(Monmouth@Stony Brook winner at No. 8 seed Wofford) at (Central Connecticut St.@Lehigh winner at No. 1 seed James Madison). This would be perfect.

2) HERO Sports:
https://herosports.com/fcs/football-fcs-bracket-seeds-1st-round-games-november-18-2017-ajaj

(CCSU@Stony Brook)@JMU

3) Nobowls:
http://www.nobowls.com/index.html

(CCSU@Stony Brook)@NDSU

4) Dom Izzo:
 https://twitter.com/DomIzzoWDAY/status/932105365524746240?s=17

(Samford@Stony Brook)@Sam Houston

I hate them all because none of them have us getting the bye. Us vs Monmouth then playing @Wofford seems to be the most likely though.

I think had North Carolina A&T lost or Western Illinois lost SB would most likely gotten that 8th seed

CTWolfie

  • Newbie
  • *
  • Posts: 43
    • View Profile
Here is one more from Collegesportsmadness.com:
Lehigh vs SBU, winner to face ND State.
http://www.collegesportsmadness.com/fcs-football/bracketology

iBOsbu

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 792
  • Location: MD
    • View Profile
No seed for us. We get Lehigh and winner goes to JMU.
« Last Edit: November 19, 2017, 11:26:39 am by iBOsbu »

laxnation

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 429
    • View Profile
Stony Brook gets screwed with the 2nd round matchup!  Shouldn’t surprise me, because football coaches(current/former) at all levels show they are some of the dumbest people on the planet on a weekly basis!
Elon and New Hampshire would each have an easier matchup in the second round!
« Last Edit: November 19, 2017, 11:16:03 am by laxnation »

ecasadoSBU

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2312
  • Location: New York, NY
    • View Profile
Just tuned in to the show. A little late.
Everything a Stony Brook Fan Needs:

SBU FANS Message Board - http://sbufan.createaforum.com/index.php

BROOK LAND:
https://brook.land/

WUSB.FM Radio & Sports Blog: http://sbradiosports.blogspot.com/

Official Site: http://www.stonybrookathletics.com/

iBOsbu

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 792
  • Location: MD
    • View Profile
Stony Brook gets screwed with the 2nd round matchup!  Shouldn’t surprise me, because football coaches(current/former) at all levels show they are some of the dumbest people on the planet on a weekly basis!
Elon and New Hampshire would each have an easier matchup in the second round!

So true. Stupid regionality. NCAA needs to end this regionality/locality BS. It’s the playoffs. Every program should be able to fly their team.