Author Topic: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!  (Read 1000 times)

iBOsbu

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 800
  • Location: MD
    • View Profile
  Gets real interesting  with all different scenarios . Glad we have that problem instead of facing an end of the season game Saturday .

couldn't agree more :)

Hammertime

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2505
    • View Profile
couple of brackets.. one has us playing Lehigh, another Colgate:
- http://www.collegesportsmadness.com/fcs-football/bracketology
- http://www.fcs.football/info.asp?type=2017

It sucks because the winner of the first round is going against the #1 team in the FCS in the 2nd round. The season most likely ends there...  I guess that is how it is seeded every year, CAA teams battle it out in the playoffs to make it to the next round??

iBOsbu

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 800
  • Location: MD
    • View Profile
I am not too familiar with the bracket process.. assuming we win first round, hope we play Elon (way overrated imo) or another eastern or southern team rather than JMU (gulp).

CTWolfie

  • Newbie
  • *
  • Posts: 43
    • View Profile
Game vs Maine, which will not be easy, probably is critical to ultimate seedings.  Cannot look past Maine.  This game is very very important. A win and some help hopefully avoids placement into the slot that goes to JMU in second round.

Chairman of the Board

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4394
  • Location: New York, NY
    • View Profile
    • SB Lacrosse Alumni Org
FCS #12: http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/football/fcs/fcs-coaches-poll

keep in mind that Ill State is solid and could beat ND State, and South Dakota State could lose to SD.  Wofford should lose to SoCar and maybe even Western Ill should lose to Southern Ill, arguably. 
There are 29,413,039 corporations in America; but only one Chairman of the Board.
Like Like x 1 View List

ecasadoSBU

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2382
  • Location: New York, NY
    • View Profile
Anyone that isn't happy with the current state of affair please take a moment and visit Big Purple Fans. lol
Everything a Stony Brook Fan Needs:

SBU FANS Message Board - http://sbufan.createaforum.com/index.php

BROOK LAND:
https://brook.land/

WUSB.FM Radio & Sports Blog: http://sbradiosports.blogspot.com/

Official Site: http://www.stonybrookathletics.com/

Chairman of the Board

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4394
  • Location: New York, NY
    • View Profile
    • SB Lacrosse Alumni Org
There are 29,413,039 corporations in America; but only one Chairman of the Board.

ecasadoSBU

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2382
  • Location: New York, NY
    • View Profile
Game vs Maine, which will not be easy, probably is critical to ultimate seedings.  Cannot look past Maine.  This game is very very important. A win and some help hopefully avoids placement into the slot that goes to JMU in second round.

Reading in the AGS board i get the sense that the Maine game is Indeed critical if we want to be considered for a seeding. We need also need some dominoes to fall our way to get a seed (and thus avoid JMU in a hypothetical second round matchup)
Everything a Stony Brook Fan Needs:

SBU FANS Message Board - http://sbufan.createaforum.com/index.php

BROOK LAND:
https://brook.land/

WUSB.FM Radio & Sports Blog: http://sbradiosports.blogspot.com/

Official Site: http://www.stonybrookathletics.com/

Seawolf97

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2321
  • Location: Suffolk County , NY
    • View Profile
Lets beat Maine first and worry about  what happens next.  A lot of teams in the CAA and elsewhere are going home after Saturday  keep that in mind.

VA_Seawolf

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 537
  • Location: Northern Virginia
    • View Profile
Game vs Maine, which will not be easy, probably is critical to ultimate seedings.  Cannot look past Maine.  This game is very very important. A win and some help hopefully avoids placement into the slot that goes to JMU in second round.

True we cannot look past Maine.

The seeding has a geographic component, but if we play well, we may not get put up against JMU right away. If Elon wins for instance they should get a seed and they could be our second round matchup. It's also possible if Wofford winds up being seeded we could be put in their bracket. Jacksonville St. or Central Arkansas aren't that far away and we could be put there too as a reward for a good season. We've played way too well to be put up against JMU in round two. That's if we don't get a seed. If we get a seed and win the second round game, it wouldn't be until the quarterfinal that we'd have to worry about JMU (or maybe NDSU if we get the #7 seed). Our defense will keep us in games against anyone in the country. I wouldn't call the JMU game an automatic loss. We have to take care of business first though.

If we lose out on a seed to Elon if they beat JMU, A Big Sky champion Southern Utah, or an 8-3 MVFC team (South Dakota or WIU) I could live with that. Elon would have earned it by beating JMU, SUU would be Big Sky champs, and the MVFC is a gauntlet. If we lose out on a seed to Wofford (SoCon, struggled to get OT wins against weak teams), Weber St. (D2 win), or God forbid a 10-1 Big South champion (Monmouth or Kennesaw St.) I'd be pissed. We'd have been screwed out of a seed if that were the case. No way Friggin Wofford, Weber St. or a Big South team should get a seed over a 9-2 team out of the CAA. No team has ever gone 9-2 in this conference and not gotten a seed. Keep that in mind.

A game thanksgiving weekend should be against the Patriot or NEC champ who we should handle pretty easily. They like to avoid rematches if they can in the first round(s), so I don't think we'd get Delaware or New Hampshire again. If we do, it'd clear the committee tried to screw us deliberately.

If the following happens this weekend:
We beat Maine
South Dakota St. beats South Dakota (fairly likely)
JMU beats Elon (likely)
NAU beats Southern Utah (50/50)

I'd have a hard time seeing us not getting a seed. Weber St. losing would help, but that's not likely. We should get that final seed over one of Wofford or Weber St. in that case. I'd have a meltdown if those teams with their cupcake conferences/schedules get seeds over us.

Chairman of the Board

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4394
  • Location: New York, NY
    • View Profile
    • SB Lacrosse Alumni Org
this is great because i feel its all too often we are on the other side of the argument- that we won our conference- and now we finally in one sport can argue that SoS should be rewarded.  a true sign of progress for SB Athletics.
There are 29,413,039 corporations in America; but only one Chairman of the Board.

iBOsbu

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 800
  • Location: MD
    • View Profile
With that Hail Mary win, do we have the resume to host next week? I think we lost our chance for seed. But I don’t think we will be traveling first round, phew.
« Last Edit: November 18, 2017, 03:30:55 pm by iBOsbu »

ecasadoSBU

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2382
  • Location: New York, NY
    • View Profile
With that Hail Mary win, do we have the resume to host next week? I think we lost our chance for seed. But I donít think we will be traveling first round.

Just gotta wait to see how the day finishes.

I still believe the CAA is deserving of two seeded teams. That leaves only JMU/SBU as candidates
Everything a Stony Brook Fan Needs:

SBU FANS Message Board - http://sbufan.createaforum.com/index.php

BROOK LAND:
https://brook.land/

WUSB.FM Radio & Sports Blog: http://sbradiosports.blogspot.com/

Official Site: http://www.stonybrookathletics.com/
Like Like x 1 View List

VA_Seawolf

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 537
  • Location: Northern Virginia
    • View Profile
With that Hail Mary win, do we have the resume to host next week? I think we lost our chance for seed. But I donít think we will be traveling first round.

Just gotta wait to see how the day finishes.

I still believe the CAA is deserving of two seeded teams. That leaves only JMU/SBU as candidates

I'm not ruling out a seed either. We didn't look good today, but with some chaos I think we could still snag one. Other teams haven't had their best games either at various points this season. Here are the games to watch:

Southern Illinois @ Western Illinois - WIU up 21-0 right now. WIU was in the running for a seed and could get one depending on how things shake out. Lets assume WIU wins this one.

Idaho State @ Weber State - Weber at home and is favored. They have a D2 win, and I don't think their resume is/was as good as ours, but at 9-2 they could steal our seed. based on eye test and us looking weak today. Hope for the Idaho St. upset. Though they could still win and not get a seed.

Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah - A Southern Utah win gets them the Big Sky autobid and (IMO) guarantees them a seed. Lets hope NAU can pull off the upset. NAU is a good team and could do it.

Wofford @ South Carolina - Wofford is often listed as a seed, but their resume is weaker than ours and would be weaker than several other 9-2/8-3 teams. They've needed overtime to beat weak Big South and SoCon teams. If they get a seed over any of these other teams listed I'd be legitimately upset. I don't think they should get one, but if they play USC close, they may be able to snag/keep a seed.

Monmouth @ Kennesaw St. - KSU up 38-21 right now. With enough chaos, the winner of this game would be the Big South champion and at 10-1 could get a seed. I don't think they will, but they could. Both teams should be in the playoffs with all the losses by CAA bubble teams today.

South Dakota State @ South Dakota - SDSU up 17-14 right now. I think the winner of this game will get a seed for sure, but if USD wins, both could get seeds (USD has a h2h win over WIU and would be seeded over them). I'm rooting for South Dakota St. as they're already a seed in most projections and a win here knocks South Dakota out of the seed picture at 7-4. SDSU was the only team this year to beat NDSU.

Abilene Christian @ Central Arkansas - UCA is a top 4 seed in most projections, and this game shouldn't be close. But under the 0.00001% chance Abilene Christian wins, that should knock Central Arkansas out of the seed picture. The Southland is a joke and is overall arguably weaker than the Big South. A couple great teams up top, but trash at the bottom.

Elon is out of the seed picture after the blowout loss to JMU today.
« Last Edit: November 18, 2017, 04:17:25 pm by VA_Seawolf »

iBOsbu

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 800
  • Location: MD
    • View Profile
UD and UNH losses didnít do them any good and didnít help us either to make our loss and win against them look better. CAA not gonna send 5 teams anymore but 3 teams locked and UNH mighg get in based on other results.