Author Topic: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!  (Read 999 times)

ecasadoSBU

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The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
« on: November 11, 2017, 09:34:22 pm »
There is no Jinxing anymore. SBU is playoff bound. So why not start our own bracketology and have fun at it!
« Last Edit: November 25, 2017, 11:33:15 pm by ecasadoSBU »
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ecasadoSBU

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I'll start with some questions first.

I've read in the AGS board that home games need to bid for? Is this true? If that is the case. I have no doubt that SBU will bid for a home game in the 1st round.

1st Round: Stony Brook vs. Duquesne/Central Connecticut? or Stony Brook vs. Colgate?
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ecasadoSBU

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Seawolf97

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Duquense/CCSU would be an easy W . Colgate is a tougher team . As long as it is home  doesn't matter.  I suspect we get Colgate

VA_Seawolf

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I'm still hoping we get the bye and/or some craziness occurs to get us the CAA title. We must beat Maine and then have Southern Utah, South Dakota, and probably a couple more lose. There's still a chance we can get the seed and/or a bye. I think there's a scenario where if Elon beats JMU we may win the CAA title, but I'm not entirely sure. JMU beating Elon would definitely boost our odds of getting a seed though, so it's almost like it's either we win the conference, but potentially don't get the seed, or have JMU beat Elon and get the seed, but not win the conference title. Very interesting situation. I'd hope we'd get a seed over Wofford if we beat Maine (as they're going to get killed by South Carolina next week), but that's no guarantee. Wofford's playoff resume isn't as good as ours.

ecasadoSBU

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The Bye week is definitely possible if we win next week and some madness occurs across the FCS.

Now, I think winning the CAA Championship is a bit tougher. For that, JMU would have to lose. I just don't see them losing to Elon...
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iBOsbu

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Easy to say but we just need to win at Maine. It’s gonna be hard. They play well at home. And they gave Umass a scare on Saturday. And we will probably be resting some players (we definitely should), we might be short handed.

PS we need a thread for the Maine game :)

VA_Seawolf

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Not sure how smart resting players would be. We're giving up on a bye and a second round home game by doing that. Playing tough against Maine and getting a win gives us a chance at a seed which means a bye and second round home game. First time we'd ever host a playoff game in December at Lavalle. That's worth playing for.

Also I doublechecked. If we beat Maine, and Elon wins next week, us, JMU, and Elon would each finish the year as CAA co-champions at 7-1 in the conference. The tiebreakers to determine the auto-bid are in the linked document below (Article IV). So if that happened, we would technically be CAA champions and could claim a share of the conference title for the first time ever. The tie-breakers in the pdf are to determine who get the auto-bid for the playoffs (irrelevant because we'd get an at-large as would JMU and Elon). If we all finish 7-1 in conference, we'd all get a share of the title. Of course JMU beating Elon greatly increases our chance at getting a seed. I'd wager that if Elon(JMU), South Dakota(SDSU), Southern Utah (NAU), and Wofford(FBS South Carolina) all lose their games next week, which is pretty likely given who they're all playing we'd get a seed. All of the above except for Wofford would have at least three losses against our two losses, and Wofford's conference (SoCon) isn't as strong as the CAA. They've also struggled against some pretty mediocre teams.

http://static.caasports.com/custompages/2015%20CAAFB%20Press%20Box/CAA/_Handbook%20(Web).pdf

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4.05 For non-automatic qualifier purposes, multiple tied teams will be recognized as conference champions.
« Last Edit: November 12, 2017, 07:55:42 pm by VA_Seawolf »

iBOsbu

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I was thinking of the injured players especially Bedell and Bolden. Why risk them. We have enough rushing firepower to rest Bedell unless he is feeling 100%. As for Bolden I donít know how serious the concussion was. Players would always want to play..even through injury. Again I would only play Bolden if he is 100%.

iBOsbu

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Thanks for the explanation. Now you have made it a tough choice lol. Root for JMU for higher seed vs root for Elon for a share of the CAA championship. I think I am leaning towards rooting for Elon haha

VA_Seawolf

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Thanks for the explanation. Now you have made it a tough choice lol. Root for JMU for higher seed vs root for Elon for a share of the CAA championship. I think I am leaning towards rooting for Elon haha

Same. Even with their win, all three teams could get a seed if SUU, South Dakota, Wofford, and maybe a couple others lose. I really want to be able to claim a conference title in the CAA.

Chairman of the Board

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thanks VA!  so it looks like there really is no tiebreaker; it's just a shared title. 

on UMass, i dont know what to think of this program.  yeah, its FBS but they have been terrible, barely in MAC games and lucky to get a win per season.  maine is solid and gets up for that game.  UMass i'm not so sure, especially after having such a losing season.

yeah im leaning towards the title too- keep in mind that there is a geographic component to seeding, so it's not like if JMU is one slot higher, that's going to strengthen the CAA seeds and they will play a weaker team (not necessarily at least). 

let's get the banner in the stadium.
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Chairman of the Board

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CSM #10: http://www.collegesportsmadness.com/fcs-football/top-25-rankings

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SB (8-2) punched their playoff bid by whipping Wagner. They finish at Maine, with a win all but guaranteeing a home game.

CBS #15: https://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/rankings/full

Compughter #5: http://www.compughterratings.com/FCS/rankings

Hero #20: https://herosports.com/fcs-football-rankings
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iBOsbu

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Seawolf97

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  Gets real interesting  with all different scenarios . Glad we have that problem instead of facing an end of the season game Saturday .