I don't see the Pace game as a problem. If SB has to rely on an at-large berth (hope they don't), then I think a lack of LOSSES instead of total wins against FCS teams carries more weight. It shouldn't, but the committee seems to penalize losses more than it rewards wins. A win against either Syracuse or Army is possible (Sam Houston is rated higher than both of them). A game against Pace would give the Wolves somewhat of a bye week. Win an FCS game, lose no more than two games in total, and they would get in.
The FCS Playoff Committee has not relied on any "threshold" of any sort EXCEPT for a hard 7-D1 win threshold. Given our cupcake schedule and 2 FBS opponent mandate, we cripple ourselves in this area - basically requiring an undefeated FCS OOC and an FBS win to qualify for the playoffs. Given that there are 3 brand new FCS programs that are D1 counters looking for opponents (including local Rhode Island program Bryant), there should have been no problem finding a replacement for Hofstra years in advance. This was a total failure by the administration in my eyes.
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