I don't see the Pace game as a problem. If SB has to rely on an at-large berth (hope they don't), then I think a lack of LOSSES instead of total wins against FCS teams carries more weight. It shouldn't, but the committee seems to penalize losses more than it rewards wins. A win against either Syracuse or Army is possible (Sam Houston is rated higher than both of them). A game against Pace would give the Wolves somewhat of a bye week. Win an FCS game, lose no more than two games in total, and they would get in.