Author Topic: 2018 Football  (Read 9609 times)


Seawolf97

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #166 on: October 29, 2018, 03:42:25 pm »
We are still above the Top20  which is great. Tough loss Saturday but to  top team by 3 points.  Not bad,

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #167 on: October 29, 2018, 03:58:07 pm »
yeah.  i think the CAA getting in more than 3 teams is a good thing for us, possibly more than 4.  and someone has to lose the elon/tsu game, and the jmu/tsu game.

because even if we end up unseeded, i think we can beat likely play-in teams like SHU, and wofford, and SD, etc.
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VA_Seawolf

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #168 on: October 30, 2018, 07:56:44 pm »
I think the CAA gets five teams honestly. JMU, Towson, Delaware, and then two of Elon, Maine and US. We're going to get our toughest first round opponent ever though likely as I feel like we're on a collision course with 7-0 Colgate in the first round. Especially if we drop any of our final two games. Colgate is legit this year.

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #169 on: October 30, 2018, 08:24:24 pm »
been keeping my eye on 'gate.  very impressive defense.  schedule isnt what ours is, but still- holding teams to such low totals is outstanding.

with geography being a factor- it's a decent chance that if we get in, it's up to hamilton.

i think we can beat em.
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Wolffan

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #170 on: October 31, 2018, 03:45:45 pm »
been keeping my eye on 'gate.  very impressive defense.  schedule isnt what ours is, but still- holding teams to such low totals is outstanding.

with geography being a factor- it's a decent chance that if we get in, it's up to hamilton.

i think we can beat em.

I think we can trounce slow-footed 'Gate. None of their victories have been v teams .500 or better. (Yes, they are better than Lehigh last year so I would not expect another 52-29 debacle).

Colgate has two more very soft Patriot League games and then plays FBS West Point. Kind of odd scheduling. Not sure how that  last game (a likely loss) would effect their seed. Especially if we win out.
« Last Edit: October 31, 2018, 03:51:19 pm by Wolffan »

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #171 on: October 31, 2018, 03:56:06 pm »
maybe because it's in-state, or army in some sports is in the patriot league? 

either way army is pretty good this year.  i saw that okla game...
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VA_Seawolf

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #172 on: October 31, 2018, 04:11:45 pm »
Yep. Army is in the Patriot for non-football sports, so they often wind up playing Patriot teams in football despite being FBS Independent vs the rest of the conference being FCS.

Colgate definitely gets a seed if they beat Army and win out as they'd be 10-0 with a legit FBS win over Army. We wouldn't have to worry about them in the first round in that case.

Wolffan

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #173 on: October 31, 2018, 04:18:12 pm »
I thought the scheduling/timing was odd in that Colgate completes PL league play and then plays an FBS opponent just prior to entering the FCS playoffs. (think of us completing CAA league play and then playing an FBS opponent just prior to the FCS playoffs).


(We may find out the effect [if any] of a loss in  the final game of the regular season - to FBS West Point - in terms of seeding.

Also see the scheduling/timing odd from Army's perspective in that they play Patriot League Lafayette and Patriot League Colgate back-to back this year.

(I follow PL  fairly closely and they regularly compete with Army in all sports)
« Last Edit: October 31, 2018, 04:30:28 pm by Wolffan »

Wolffan

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #174 on: October 31, 2018, 04:32:50 pm »
I thought the scheduling/timing was odd in that Colgate completes PL league play and then plays an FBS opponent just prior to entering the FCS playoffs. (think of us completing CAA league play and then playing an FBS opponent just prior to the FCS playoffs).


(We may find out the effect [if any] of a loss in  the final game of the regular season - to FBS West Point - in terms of seeding. Especially if we win out)

Also see the scheduling/timing odd from Army's perspective in that they play Patriot League Lafayette and Patriot League Colgate back-to back this year.

(I follow PL  fairly closely and they regularly compete with Army in all sports)

VA_Seawolf

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #175 on: November 03, 2018, 02:10:31 pm »
JMU losing BIG on the road right now to New Hampshire. Score is 21-3 UNH right now with 5 minutes left in the first half. No idea what the hell is going on.

Stream is on Fox Sports Go for those that are interested:
https://www.foxsportsgo.com/channel/35287/fcs

Campi47

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #176 on: November 03, 2018, 04:09:57 pm »
Final UNH 35 JMU 24

Seawolf97

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #177 on: November 03, 2018, 04:18:08 pm »
Beautiful  afternoon .  Now to get Delaware to lose and we will be ok

VA_Seawolf

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #178 on: November 03, 2018, 05:06:38 pm »
The remainder of the CAA race is going to be absolutely nuts with six teams having a shot at the outright or split CAA championship.

Maine and Towson are playing right now with Maine having a 14-7 lead at the moment, loser gets their second CAA loss. Elon was able to beat URI 24-21, so they hang on as one of two CAA teams with only one conference loss at the end of today. I'm torn on whether to root for Maine or Towson. At first I said Maine, but Towson has a much tougher remaining schedule than Maine does meaning it's probably best if Maine loses to Towson today. Elon faces both as their last two games.

If Towson loses to Maine today, beats Elon next weekend, loses to JMU in two weeks, and we win out the rest of the way, we'll win at least a share of the CAA championship with a 6-2 conference record. There are other scenarios that lead us to a CAA title, but that's probably the most straight forward one. No clue who the CAA tiebreakers would award the autobid to, but I'd wager whoever does get it would also secure a playoff seed and first round bye. Potentially lots of interesting chaos ahead. I'll say we had a good time to get the bye week!

To win the league outright (no tiebreakers, one true CAA champion, the following would need to occur:

SBU beats Delaware (11/10)
SBU beats Albany (11/17)
Towson beats Maine(11/3)
Elon beats Towson(11/10)
Richmond beats Maine (11/10)
Rhode Island beats JMU (11/10)
Villanova beats Delaware (11/17)
Maine beats Elon (11/17)
JMU beats Towson (11/17)

If all of the above happened, Stony Brook would sit alone at the top of the CAA at 6-2, Elon would be second at 5-2 (had their game against W&M cancelled), and everyone else would be 5-3 or worse in conference.

VA_Seawolf

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Re: 2018 Football
« Reply #179 on: November 03, 2018, 06:45:22 pm »
Delaware hangs on to win a close one @ Albany 21-16. I take from it that neither of our final two games will be easy. Delaware is beatable for us especially at home, but conversely Albany could definitely beat us.