Author Topic: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL  (Read 3193 times)

ecasadoSBU

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Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
« on: October 25, 2017, 04:32:17 pm »
The Article puts Villanova in the playoffs which is a dubious at best prediction. Assuming you need at least 7 wins to get in, they'd need to win three of their last four games and they still have Elon, Richmond, and Delaware on the schedule. All of which are at home though. I don't think they get in.

As for us, we avoid JMU and Elon this year which are the two best teams in conference. We have the quality loss to FBS #14 USF as a resume booster and the Delaware loss doesn't look bad at all given how well they're playing now. Win out, and we may be looking at a first round bye. Lose one and I think we're solidly in and host a first round game against an auto-bid from the Big South, Patriot, or NEC who we should crush. Which game to lose though is what makes things a bit dicey. I'd say this Richmond game coming up is the biggest one since we need another quality win on the schedule. That's what we lack. If we beat Richmond, I think we can lose either of the Albany or Maine games and still be ok. Drop the Richmond game, and we MUST win out in order to get a spot. 7-4 has us sitting at home this year in favor of an FCS blue blood like Montana, or potentially a 6-5 team from the MVFC. 7-4 most years would get us in, but not this year.

Beat Richmond, and I think we lock up a playoff spot. This bye week couldn't have come at a better time for our team. If we're good enough to beat Richmond, we're definitely good enough to beat the rest of the teams we play in conference. I'd also hope for a flukely loss by JMU and/or Elon to get us a share of the conference title or possibly win it outright. I think a 3-4 way tie for the conference title is technically still possible.

Is Elon really the 2nd best team in the conference? We will find out the last four games of the season. Their schedule is pretty back-loaded with UNH/NOVA/JMU to close the season.

Anyway. I agree that the game against Richmond is big. But please don't even suggest dropping a game to Albany at home. That's a rivalry. We need to beat them EVERY year. lol
« Last Edit: October 25, 2017, 04:37:58 pm by ecasadoSBU »
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