JMU #1 and Elon #7 in the committee top ten. Pretty reasonable.
https://twitter.com/CAAFootball/status/926283565905731585
Seawolves couldn't make the top ten. I didn't expect them to. Making it would have surprised me. But that's not to say we can't make the top 10, come actual selection day. We just have to win 3 winnable, though not easy games. And hope for some drop outs in the ranking. Lot of the top teams yet to play each other and Elon will definitely get another loss somewhere.
Elon and JMU play and nobody is beating JMU, so Elon will lose. Whether or not that drops them out of the top 8 remains to be seen. If it's a one possession game they may remain in the top 8 and get a seed.
The big surprise was NAU. That one surprised me, but the computers like them (8th in the Massey Composite) with a non-conference win over Illinois St. and losses only to ranked FBS Arizona and WIU. They're undefeated in Big Sky play, but have games against both Montana and Southern Utah coming up.
With enough losses by certain teams we could be looking at a seed. I wouldn't be surprised if we were 11-12th in the committee's mind. What helps us is that a lot of the teams around us in the rankings in the hunt for a seed still play each other. That can also break the other way against us, but teams losing late take them out of consideration for that playoff seed. NDSU still plays South Dakota South Dakota St., and Illinois St. All of which either have seeds or are in the running for a seed. We need NDSU to crush those teams, NAU to lose to one or both of the Montana teams, and JMU to crush Elon. Ideally I'd also like to see one or both of those Southland schools lose. No way two teams from that cupcake conference should have seeds, but it is what it is. If the above happens I think we're in a good spot. Historically if you finish 9-2 in this conference, you get a seed. Champion or not.
Just have to win the games in front of us first though. Winning out gets us a playoff home game at Lavalle at worst against a cupcake, and hopefully a winnable road game in the second round (Elon perhaps). If you told me two months ago we'd be talking about potentially receiving a first round bye in the playoffs I'd have laughed at you.
while i might agree with the logic (JMU Is that good this year), URI did beat albany, and so i tend to think never say never... but yes, i think JMU will beat elon.
GO SB, BEAT UA!!!
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