Is it any wonder UB fans are confident on our recent FCS matchups, since our team backs it up? We've seen it all from FCS fans.
AGS thread of the Gardner-Webb @ UB game in 2010, where fans actually believed G-W had a chance. UB won 40-3:
http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?64539-Gardner-Webb-at-BuffaloAGS threads on FBS upsets which picked SBU in 2011. You know the result:
http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?80118-SBU-Adds-Second-FBS-Opponent-Will-Play-UTEP-and-Buffalo-in-2011http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?84230-Top-10-FBS-Schools-Likely-to-Lose-to-FCS*Warning-Bleacher-Report*
http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?84097-Most-intriguing-FBS-matchups-for-2011Let's recap 2011. SBU excelled after the UB loss and reached the 2nd round. UB was picked to finish 6th in the MAC East, only garnering 28 voting points. We finished in that spot with 2 other wins besides SBU. We only started 4 SR's on both sides of the ball vs SBU. All TD's in that game were scored by players on the UB roster today. The stars of that game, Oliver, Mack, Neutz, Hughes, Dennison, were Sophs/R-Fr.
Fast-forward to today. UB received votes toward 4th in the MAC East, 7th overall, with 101 vote points (1 first-place vote). We return 17 of 22 starters and all our specialists. Our top 3 running backs on last season's depth chart, who combined to play in only 6 games, are all healthy. Mack is on multiple national award watch lists and Mel Kiper has him #13 on his big board. Neutz, Oliver, and CB Najja Johnson are all on national award watch lists. Our OL goes 310, 320, 320, 326, 327, much bigger than our 2011 line. Besides Mack rushing from OLB at 6'3" 248, our 3-man front is 273, 300, 293, also bigger than the 2011 front which stymied SBU drives for 3 quarters.
With all that returning talent and a lighter MAC schedule, multiple national reviews predict UB will become bowl eligible. The point being, we are much better than the first go round. I've read many points from here, AGS, the AE board, and there doesn't appear to be the same certainty about Stony Brook's improvement from impressive 2011 and 2012 squads. In posts regarding upsets, where would it develop, outside of a massive turnover fest by UB a la Army?