Author Topic: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5  (Read 580 times)

Checkmate

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Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« on: December 04, 2018, 11:42:06 am »
MANHATTAN
Record:
2-5 (0-0 MAAC)
Last Game: Fordham 57, Manhattan 56 on 12/1/18
Last Game with SBU: Stony Brook 50, Manhattan 44 on 1/1/13; Warney 8 pts, 6 rebs
Checkmate Unofficial Line: Stony Brook -5.5
RealTime RPI: Stony Brook 95, Manhattan 324
KenPom RPI: Stony Brook 172, Manhattan 302
KenPom Prediction: Stony Brook 64, Manhattan 61
Listen/Watch:
TV: https://gojaspers.com/showcase?Live=116
Stony Brook radio: http://bit.ly/WUSBSports
Notables:
6-8/220 jr F Pauly Paulicap 7.5 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 1.0 spg (only 2 games; average 10 ppg, 7 rpg, 2.5 bpg on .558 shooting last year)
6-9/240 fr F Warren Williams 7.4 ppg, 3.7 rpg, .500 FG%, .414 FT%
6-0/180 sr G Thomas Capuano 6.1 ppg, 1.1 spg, .476 3-pt FG%
6-7/220 so F Ebube Ebube 6.1 ppg, 7.0 rpg, .353 3-pt FG%, team-high 27.3 minutes
6-1/190 so G Nehemiah “Bud” Mack 5.3 ppg, 1.4 spg, .867 FT%

I’m just so wary of every game. We’re sitting at 7-1 and it just seems too good to be true, doesn’t it?

Well, we have a couple solid road tests coming up in Manhattan and Brown, which is off to a 6-3 start. First things first though, we face a Jasper team that we need to be careful with, never mind their record.

Manhattan’s fallen on hard times of late, having finished below .500 in each of the past three seasons and likely on their way to a fourth. They were picked to finish eighth in the MAAC in the preseason. Yet the style of basketball that we can expect from a Steve Masiello team puts an emphasis on taking care of the basketball, which is an element of the game that we’ve struggled with to this point. A disciple of Rick Pitino, Masiello’s group will try to speed us up by pressuring the ball, often for 94 feet, and make every possession a challenge. Masiello uses his entire roster to do it. Only Ebube averages more than 25 minutes a game, and they have nine guys who average more than 15. They've had seven different leading scorers in seven games.

Sure, the Jaspers have had their struggles this year – see a 23-point loss to Hartford and a 27-point loss at GW. They’re averaging less than 53 points a game (topping out at just 56) and have shot just 37 percent as a team. And (eek) 52 percent from the charity stripe – imagine enduring that? However, they got a jolt over the weekend when, after missing five games – and only playing five minutes in a sixth – due to injury, Pauly Paulicap returned to the starting lineup against one-loss Fordham for the Battle of the Bronx. They went up to Rose Hill Gym and were right there at the end, with Mack misfiring on a potential game-winning three at the buzzer. Paulicap led the way with 15 and 6 in just 22 minutes. He’s a big-time presence underneath, coming off a year in which he led the MAAC in blocks at about 2.5 a night.

This is a team that shot 40 percent from three last year but lost their top four guys in terms of makes. Capuano's the main weapon now, having shot almost 51 percent from three last year and is up near that again. He's really the glue to the group, having played in over 100 games for his career, most of them starts.

Manhattan’s the kind of team that will make us beat ourselves by being careless with the ball. With such a young team, I’m a little worried about our ability to handle the pressure, but hopefully the guys are coached up and ready to handle the heat. I wonder if we see more Garcia as a small-ball five just to have another ballhandler on the floor.

If we get to 60, will that do?

As great as our record is, really, what game was a no-doubter aside from Molloy? We were neck and neck with South Carolina and GW. We finished strong in our first Norfolk State win and held on in our second. The same goes for Quinnipiac – up big, held on. So really, we're looking at the URI game as the only D-I opponent against which we kinda coasted (coasted against an A-10 team – did I just say that?). So we're 7-1, but couldn't we easily be .500? Let's not lose sight of that. We're going to have to earn this one too.
« Last Edit: December 04, 2018, 03:04:00 pm by Checkmate »
"Of all the money e'er I had, I spent it in good company." – The Clancy Brothers, "The Parting Glass"

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VA_Seawolf

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #1 on: December 04, 2018, 02:18:29 pm »
Your analysis is spot on as always Checkmate. I'll be eagerly watching this one hoping for another W.

Speaking of realtimeRPI, I just checked it and according to it we have a higher RPI than Kentucky right now at 101 compared to their 105. Just a funny thing I thought I'd point out while it's still true.  ;D

Checkmate

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2018, 09:43:26 am »
BetOnline has us as a five-point favorite tonight.
"Of all the money e'er I had, I spent it in good company." – The Clancy Brothers, "The Parting Glass"

OldSeawolf

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #3 on: December 05, 2018, 11:11:03 am »
Any idea if the Jaspar video feed is free or if we need to sign up with College Sports for fee, to see the game?
How old a Seawolf am I? I followed them during their Final 4 DIII hoops run in 1977-78 (they were called the Patriots then)

VA_Seawolf

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #4 on: December 05, 2018, 03:49:11 pm »
I figured the MAAC had their media contract with ESPN so the game would be on there, but I guess I'm mistaken. I do hope there's a free school stream as I'm not going to pay just to see this game. Fortunately, this is the final game of the regular season that won't be on the ESPN platform. Everything from here on out will be on ESPN3 or ESPN+. Maybe if we're lucky we'll get the Vermont game flexed to ESPNU or ESPN2 as usually they show a game or two from the conference on one of the national networks each year.

Checkmate

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #5 on: December 05, 2018, 06:22:39 pm »
If we can’t watch it, seeing Fartford get steamrolled by Duke on ESPN2 isn’t a bad consolation.


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"Of all the money e'er I had, I spent it in good company." – The Clancy Brothers, "The Parting Glass"

OldSeawolf

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #6 on: December 05, 2018, 06:25:52 pm »
If we can’t watch it, seeing Fartford get steamrolled by Duke on ESPN2 isn’t a bad consolation.


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Thanks for pointing that one out; nice option #2.
How old a Seawolf am I? I followed them during their Final 4 DIII hoops run in 1977-78 (they were called the Patriots then)

Chairman of the Board

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #7 on: December 05, 2018, 06:26:13 pm »
are you guys sure its not free???  looks it.  no sign of registration... https://gojaspers.com/watch/?Live=116&type=Archive
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OldSeawolf

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #8 on: December 05, 2018, 06:50:11 pm »
I dunno, I’m getting a cbssports promo currently, with no option for signup.
How old a Seawolf am I? I followed them during their Final 4 DIII hoops run in 1977-78 (they were called the Patriots then)

sbugold

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #9 on: December 05, 2018, 06:54:47 pm »
FREE!!!  Just access through SBU Athletics site.
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OldSeawolf

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #10 on: December 05, 2018, 06:55:30 pm »
Yowza! Looks like I’m in, unless they are teasing us with the Stony Brook/Manhattan full screen logos.
How old a Seawolf am I? I followed them during their Final 4 DIII hoops run in 1977-78 (they were called the Patriots then)

Checkmate

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #11 on: December 05, 2018, 06:57:00 pm »
With an over/under of 122, they are betting on Manhattan setting their season high for points. Take care of the ball, boys.


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"Of all the money e'er I had, I spent it in good company." – The Clancy Brothers, "The Parting Glass"

OldSeawolf

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #12 on: December 05, 2018, 07:00:00 pm »
Big crowd-is it snowing in the Bronx?
How old a Seawolf am I? I followed them during their Final 4 DIII hoops run in 1977-78 (they were called the Patriots then)

VA_Seawolf

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #13 on: December 05, 2018, 07:09:36 pm »
Nice start to this game. It's real early, but we're hitting threes at least and rebounding as usual. Manhattan just doesn't look very good, but again it's super early.


Can't deal with this 90's cellphone quality video though. This is the worst I've seen.
« Last Edit: December 05, 2018, 07:11:31 pm by VA_Seawolf »

Hammertime

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Re: Game 9: at Manhattan 12/5
« Reply #14 on: December 05, 2018, 07:21:37 pm »
Why is Boals still continuing to put McKenzie in the game.
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