Author Topic: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm  (Read 1069 times)

Checkmate

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Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« on: January 15, 2019, 10:03:08 pm »
MAINE
Record:
3-16 (1-3 America East)
Last 10: 2-8
Last Game: Hartford 77, Maine 76 on 1/15/19
Last Game with SBU: Stony Brook 64, Maine 61 on 2/11/18; 9-2 run to end the game
Checkmate Unofficial Line: Stony Brook -9.5
Net Ranking: Stony Brook 127, Maine 328
KenPom RPI: Stony Brook 147, Maine 332
KenPom Prediction: Stony Brook 68, Maine 60
Yeboah Point Watch: 1,088
Division I: Currently 7th. Next up: Dave Coley (2010-14) 1,222
All-time: Currently 19th. Next up: Dave Burda (1983-86) 1,100
Listen/Watch:
TV: http://www.espn.com/watch/player?id=b18909fd-c8e1-44d0-93ce-61ea8e206bbd (ESPN+)
Stony Brook radio: http://bit.ly/WUSBSports_FM
Notables:
6-5/195 rjr G Isaiah White 14.4 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 1.3 spg
6-7/220 jr F Andrew Fleming 13.3 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.1 spg, .467 FG%
6-4/205 jr G Sergio El Darwich 11.6 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.1 spg, .551 FG%
6-8/215 so F Vilgot Larsson 7.3 ppg, 4.7 rpg

Maine's been a laughingstock for years and rightfully so. And this year, their record doesn’t suggest that they’re a player in the America East. Yet we don’t want to stub our toe here, and Maine has been a nuisance to us in the recent past.

Last year’s squad had a troublesome time in both games with Maine – Iroegbu beat them with a buzzer-beating three at the Fed, and we held on to win by three in Bangor (our website says Orono, which is wrong). And two years ago at our place, Nyama drew a bogus foul and knocked down a go-ahead free throw with one second left to win it. While they were all SBU wins, we’re still talking about a miniscule eight-point aggregate spread.

Take another step back and you’ll see the one-sidedness of this series. We’ve won 15 straight, dating back to the 2010-11 season when Leonard Hayes’ career-high 22 wasn’t enough in a 70-59 road loss. It’s as much an indictment on the Maine program as it is a feather in our cap. Maine has finished with single-digit wins in each of the last five years, going an abominable 30-123 over that stretch.

BUT … there’s reason to believe that the arrow’s pointing in the right direction up there.

First, the coach. Richard Barron had been wildly successful as UMaine’s women’s coach before a health scare caused him to leave the team – something horrible called superior semicircular canal dehiscence to be specific. He was given the men’s job when Bob Walsh stepped down, and, well, if you examine the numbers a little closer, Maine may be on to something.

Yes, they’re 3-15, but they’ve played some teams very tough. They’ve lost three games in overtime and have a nice win over Fordham to their credit. They played Brown close, played with Rutgers for a half, and all this is with a new coach and a roster that had to adjust to a new system, never mind the fact that Aaron Calixte (whose game I loved) graduated and bolted for the big stage – Oklahoma – where he's started all 16 of their games.

So presumably they are rounding into shape for the conference season. They notched their first conference win on Saturday when they handled Albany pretty easily. UA hit some cosmetic threes late in a game that the Black Bears led by 16 in the second half. The story was El Darwich, a juco transfer who continued his recent outbreak with a season-high 26 that included five triples. From what I saw in the UA game, he's pretty smooth – nifty with the bounce, good mid-range game, and range beyond 19'9". Granted, I watched him on his best day, but he looks like a nice combo guard and a good get for Maine (note he's a native Lebanese who played postgrad ball in Maine for a now-UMaine assistant; should have stayed home from the start).

His emergence gives Maine a third scorer alongside White – a three-point artist – and Fleming, who has a nice jumper to go with a polished post game (he had 29 in the win over Fordham). According to ESPN, he was the #1 recruit from the state of Maine in 2016. El Darwich was #2.

Back to Barron – I'm rooting for him because of his health setback and because it's a tall task that he's taken on. I also love what he's done with his coaching staff. One, he hired a Maine all-timer, Kevin Reed, as an assistant. Two, he brought in Edniesha Curry, a former assistant for his women's teams, as the only full-time female assistant on a Division I men's staff. And three, Igor Vrzina, the longtime Lee Academy coach who undoubtedly has a network in New England and internationally (I count TWELVE different countries on Maine's current roster). Five current Maine players came out of Lee. Nobody's being held hostage in the cold up there – I'd imagine they're committed to helping their alma mater get out of this hole.

As for this game, hey, I like our chances against just about anybody right now. We're very well balanced offensively, defend the heck out of it, and play from the opening tip to the buzzer. That's a good formula at whatever level we're talking about. I like our wings shadowing their wings, and think we just have more firepower and athleticism than they do. But ... Fordham, another team from New York, might have made this same trip and thought the same thing. So let's take care of business.
« Last Edit: January 17, 2019, 03:55:22 pm by Checkmate »
"Of all the money e'er I had, I spent it in good company." – The Clancy Brothers, "The Parting Glass"

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Hammertime

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #1 on: January 16, 2019, 05:58:22 am »
I hope i am wrong but something tells me Yeboah has a more serious Knee issue  It has been about one Month and he still has the brace on. He could have a torn ACL, MCL , PCL, LCL. I say that because of that heavy, metal brace he is wearing in every game he's playing in. my son wore that same brace when he tore his ACL in Sept. That brace clearly limits his lateral and jumping mobilities. Though he can still play BB with any one of these injuries, but this will surely slow his game down a bunch. Hopefully, I am dead wrong about this but we really need Yeboah at 100% when we play VT in 10 days.

OldSeawolf

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #2 on: January 16, 2019, 10:06:03 am »
Thanks Checkmate - I love the analysis as always - really prepares us for the game.  Keep up the great works!

Hammer, I hope your assessment is incorrect.  No question that Akwasi is a step slower and less quick since the injury (and the brace).  He's still effective though, and is still logging some heavy minutes.  Don't think the coaching staff would risk further injury by throwing him out there the way they have, unless the risk was minimal.  We have enough depth on this team, so that Akwasi at 80% is still OK.
How old a Seawolf am I? I followed them during their Final 4 DIII hoops run in 1977-78 (they were called the Patriots then)
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Checkmate

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Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #3 on: January 16, 2019, 10:23:07 am »
I think it's OK for somebody to have a couple off nights following an injury, if you can call these off nights.

UML: 19 pts in 32 minutes
UB: 13 pts, 13 rebs and 6 asts in 32 minutes
UNH: 13 pts and 5 rebs in 35 minutes

Based on usage, I'd say that he'll be fine.
« Last Edit: January 16, 2019, 02:47:13 pm by Checkmate »
"Of all the money e'er I had, I spent it in good company." – The Clancy Brothers, "The Parting Glass"

Chairman of the Board

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #4 on: January 16, 2019, 10:33:19 am »
 :) :) :) :) :) :)
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ibosbu

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #5 on: January 16, 2019, 10:45:58 am »
Days like today I wish AE had even number of teams. Everyone is playing today and we are resting. I want more basketball.

OldSeawolf

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #6 on: January 16, 2019, 12:30:58 pm »
Days like today I wish AE had even number of teams. Everyone is playing today and we are resting. I want more basketball.

I'm going to be watching the UVM @ UNH matchup, and coaching UNH from my armchair.  Go UNH!
How old a Seawolf am I? I followed them during their Final 4 DIII hoops run in 1977-78 (they were called the Patriots then)

VA_Seawolf

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #7 on: January 16, 2019, 02:40:13 pm »
Good point about Yeboah not quite being the same. That's a huge bummer, but as long as the risk is low, I guess I don't have too much of an issue with him continuing to play. I've liked enough of what I've seen from Garcia to sit Yeboah entirely though, especially for these weaker opponents.

Days like today I wish AE had even number of teams. Everyone is playing today and we are resting. I want more basketball.

I though it odd we had a whole week off and just assumed everyone else did too. Clearly I was wrong. Hopefully the time off doesn't make us rusty come Saturday. Obviously the additional time off will be good for Yeboah's injury.

Checkmate

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #8 on: January 16, 2019, 09:08:18 pm »
Oof. Rotten loss for Maine tonight. Threes got them back into the game, White makes 1 of 2 at the line to give them a one-point lead with three seconds left. Hartford then throws the long ball, it's tipped, Carroll collects it, drives, gets fouled and knocks down both free throws to win it.

Crummy way to lose, but you get the sense that Maine's starting to jell. On the other hand, Hartford sooooo close to 0-3 in conference, which I would have enjoyed. I hate Jason Dunne.
"Of all the money e'er I had, I spent it in good company." – The Clancy Brothers, "The Parting Glass"

OldSeawolf

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #9 on: January 17, 2019, 06:44:47 am »
Oof. Rotten loss for Maine tonight. Threes got them back into the game, White makes 1 of 2 at the line to give them a one-point lead with three seconds left. Hartford then throws the long ball, it's tipped, Carroll collects it, drives, gets fouled and knocks down both free throws to win it.

Crummy way to lose, but you get the sense that Maine's starting to jell. On the other hand, Hartford sooooo close to 0-3 in conference, which I would have enjoyed. I hate Jason Dunne.

Even before that, Maine up by 2 with the ball and maybe 12 seconds left, and they lose the ball on the inbounds?  They just found a way to lose.   Thought UNH played UVM really tough.  UVM has so many weapons and is going to be a tough out for SBU.
How old a Seawolf am I? I followed them during their Final 4 DIII hoops run in 1977-78 (they were called the Patriots then)

VA_Seawolf

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #10 on: January 17, 2019, 10:12:20 am »
And conversely, we'll be a tough out for them.  ;D

I was under the impression that UVM was just Anthony Lamb and everyone else though. Shut him down, and you shut their entire team down.

OldSeawolf

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #11 on: January 17, 2019, 10:38:19 am »
And conversely, we'll be a tough out for them.  ;D

I was under the impression that UVM was just Anthony Lamb and everyone else though. Shut him down, and you shut their entire team down.
Smith and the Duncan threesome are all really good players.  As a matter of fact, the Duncan freshman (forget his first name) may be the best of the 3, although Ernie is solid, albeit streaky, shooter.  Glad we're playing them at our place first.
How old a Seawolf am I? I followed them during their Final 4 DIII hoops run in 1977-78 (they were called the Patriots then)

Checkmate

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #12 on: January 19, 2019, 11:58:07 am »
Vegas has us as a 7.5 to 8 point favorite today.

I think we cover.


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"Of all the money e'er I had, I spent it in good company." – The Clancy Brothers, "The Parting Glass"

VA_Seawolf

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #13 on: January 19, 2019, 12:38:53 pm »
8 points against a ~330ish ranked team seems really low to me, but then again we've been getting out to slow starts against awful teams this year. It'd be nice to have a game where we just dominate start to finish. This should be an easy one, but road games can be tricky.

VA_Seawolf

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Re: Game 19: at Maine 1/19/19 1pm
« Reply #14 on: January 19, 2019, 01:07:14 pm »
I don't even think there are 100 people in the stands there today.