Considering that among the better teams Hartford is even less inspiring than SBU right now, I'd say a 4 seed looking like about the right spot unless there are some drastic changes. And considering AE tournament history, that ain't a bad spot to have.
You look at individuals on this team and their potential (and within the context that this is still the AE conference) and you still have to think, man, they are still just as good as anyone out there. UA's Rowley having a great year, but you have to say Warney remains the class of the conference. McGrew is a solid #2 man down low, and while Puriefoy is slumping he's still one of the better guards. After that, say what you want, but at least SBU has some athletes. History suggests that as long as you've got 2 or 3 good players and a few others who don't screw up you have a shot in the AE.
Yet something is wrong. This just doesn't seem like a team that is capable of elevating their play right now. Aside from occasional spurts, outside shooting is horrible. Offensive movement--be that via passing or driving--is not attacking well and there just seems to be a lot of stalled perimeter nothingness happening. Today I thought the defense, too, was just as horrible (UNH has been playing well, but c'mon they're not that good!). Feels disconcerting at this point of the season, too, that there seems to be a mad scramble to figure out who can play and what rotations will work.
Well, stranger things have happened and it still only comes down to who can win 3 straight in March....