Right now, according to RPI, we'd be the 67th best team (out of 68) in the dance.
Now, if there are a handful of low-major upsets in their respective tournaments (Coppin State winning the MEAC, Lamar winning the Southland, stuff like that), we could avoid the PiG.
A whole lot of ridiculous stuff would have to happen for us to get a #15, but it's technically "possible". That said, it's also "possible" Jessica Biel could grow tired of Justin Timberlake, and swing by my place tonight with nothing but a bikini and a baconator....